Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
26.77% ( 0.03)	25.4% ( 0.02)	47.83% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.18% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.99% (

-0.04)

51.01% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.13% (

-0.04)

72.87% (

0.04)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33% (

33.67% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68% (

70.32% (

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

-0.03)

21.34% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7% (

-0.05)

54.3% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 26.77%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47.83%

Draw 25.4%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 26.77%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 11.09% 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.83%