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J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 29, 2022 at 9am UK
Tosu Stadium
Gamba Osaka

Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Gamba Osaka

Horigome (19'), Seok-Ho (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yamami (58')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Jubilo Iwata vs. Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

Gamba Osaka

Last Six:
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Gamba Osaka vs. Yokohama
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawGamba Osaka
49.6% (0.257 0.26) 26.96% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 23.44% (-0.294 -0.29)
Both teams to score 44.75% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.82% (-0.345 -0.34)59.18% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.39% (-0.266 -0.27)79.61% (0.267 0.27)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)24.01% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)58.26% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89% (-0.479 -0.48)41.11% (0.479 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.34% (-0.429 -0.43)77.66% (0.431 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 49.6%
    Gamba Osaka 23.44%
    Draw 26.95%
Sagan TosuDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 14.08% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 10.04% (0.105 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 49.6%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.87% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 23.44%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 9am
Gamba Osaka
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Usami (10')
Apr 14, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Gamba Osaka

Nakano (61')
Usami (68')
Nov 29, 2020 8am
Gamba Osaka
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Patric (77')
Kurata (79')
Sagara (11')
Dudu (52'), Harakawa (90+1')
Oct 7, 2020 11am
Sagan Tosu
1-2
Gamba Osaka
Lopez (90+2')
Watanabe (21', 34')
Takao (74')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629
> J1 League Full Table


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