Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
