Sagan Tosu

1 - 2

Gamba Osaka

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.