J1 League | Gameweek 17

Jun 18, 2022 at 11am UK

Hiroshima Big Arch

Hiroshima
2 - 1
Cerezo

Notsuda (79'), Vieira (85' pen.)
Shiotani (24')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mendes (54')
Toriumi (36')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
45.85% ( -2.62)	26.78% ( -0.26)	27.37% ( 2.88)

Both teams to score 48.52% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.02% (

2.72)

55.98% (

-2.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.92% (

2.17)

77.08% (

-2.16)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63% (

-0.05)

24.36% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.23% (

-0.07)

58.77% (

0.07)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.15% (

4.01)

35.85% (

-4.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.38% (

3.89)

72.62% (

-3.89)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45.85%

Cerezo Osaka 27.37%

Draw 26.78%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 12.33% ( -1.37) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.98) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.47) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.49% Total : 45.85%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.96) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.48) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.69) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.5) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.44) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.31) Other @ 1.96% Total : 27.37%