Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.