Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.