J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 28, 2022 at 6am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch
Hiroshima1 - 0Nagoya Grampus
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Hiroshima vs. Cerezo
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Consadole Sapporo | 37 | -1 | 51 |
11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 2 | 49 |
12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Urawa vs. Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 26 | 69 |
5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.
Result | ||
Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
47.39% ( 0.02) | 27.41% ( 0) | 25.19% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 45.13% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.48% ( -0.02) | 59.52% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.13% ( -0.01) | 79.87% ( 0.01) |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.81% ( 0) | 25.19% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.08% ( 0) | 59.92% ( -0) |
Nagoya Grampus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.33% ( -0.03) | 39.67% ( 0.03) |