Hiroshima

2 - 0

Nagoya Grampus

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.