J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 25, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium
Nagoya Grampus1 - 0Avispa Fukuoka
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Urawa vs. Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 26 | 69 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
| 6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Urawa
Saturday, May 28 at 9am in J1 League
Saturday, May 28 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| 8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
| 9 | FC Tokyo | 38 | -4 | 53 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.31%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
47.85% ( 0.06) | 29.45% ( 0) | 22.7% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 38.16% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.77% ( -0.03) | 67.23% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.58% ( -0.02) | 85.42% ( 0.02) |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( 0.01) | 28.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.6% ( 0.02) | 64.4% ( -0.02) |
| Avispa Fukuoka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.44% ( -0.07) | 46.56% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.85% ( -0.06) | 82.15% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Nagoya Grampus 47.84%
Avispa Fukuoka 22.69%
Draw 29.44%
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 1-0 @ 16.66% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 47.84% | 0-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 12.74% 2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 29.44% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.53% Total : 22.69% |
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2021 10am
Feb 28, 2021 4am
Avispa Fukuoka
1-2
Nagoya Grampus
Kanamori (82')
Grolli (7'), Shigehiro (48'), Shichi (90+1')
Grolli (7'), Shigehiro (48'), Shichi (90+1')
Form Guide
