Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.