Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 52.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.
Result | ||
Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Oita Trinita |
52.06% | 26.23% | 21.71% |
Both teams to score 44.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.87% | 58.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.21% | 78.8% |
Avispa Fukuoka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.55% | 22.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.01% | 55.99% |
Oita Trinita Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.76% | 42.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.36% | 78.64% |
Score Analysis |
Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Oita Trinita |
1-0 @ 14.16% 2-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.12% 3-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 4.54% 4-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.77% Total : 52.06% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.52% 1-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.1% Total : 21.71% |
Kobayashi (15'), Kagawa (40')
Watari (37'), Miya (89')