J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 6, 2024 at 7am UK
EDION Stadium
Hiroshima2 - 3Nagoya Grampus
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Hiroshima
Friday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Friday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Friday, May 3 at 11am in J1 League
Friday, May 3 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
54.13% ( 0.02) | 25.12% ( -0) | 20.74% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.55% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.83% ( -0.02) | 55.17% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.59% ( -0.02) | 76.41% ( 0.02) |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.63% ( 0) | 20.37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.21% ( 0) | 52.79% ( -0) |
Nagoya Grampus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.46% ( -0.04) | 41.54% ( 0.04) |