J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium
Albirex Niigata1 - 1Hiroshima
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 27 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, April 27 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-2 Kawasaki
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in J1 League
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for an Albirex Niigata win it was 1-0 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Albirex Niigata | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
20.64% ( 0.4) | 24.71% ( 0.11) | 54.65% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 47.57% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.26% ( 0.04) | 53.74% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.78% ( 0.04) | 75.22% ( -0.03) |
Albirex Niigata Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.18% ( 0.45) | 40.82% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.6% ( 0.4) | 77.4% ( -0.4) |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.39% ( -0.18) | 19.61% ( 0.18) |