NY City

5 - 1

Earthquakes

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.