Portland4 - 2Earthquakes
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 12 at 9.45pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 12 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
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We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes
Thursday's clash between Portland Timbers and San Jose sees the two worst defensive teams go head-to-head, so we anticipate an open and end to end contest. We are also tipping the hosts to emerge victorious come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
50.42% ( 0.04) | 22.78% ( -0.01) | 26.8% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.97% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.57% ( 0.03) | 39.43% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.23% ( 0.03) | 61.77% ( -0.03) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% ( 0.02) | 15.83% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.98% ( 0.05) | 45.02% ( -0.05) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( -0.01) | 27.55% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.93% ( -0.01) | 63.07% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0)5-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 50.42% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.8% |
