Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 25, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Rio Ave

Paulinho (10'), Edwards (26')
Coates (48')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Aderlan (19'), Acevedo (47'), Ronaldo (57'), Ukra (73'), Santos Ventura (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Famalicao
Saturday, September 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Rio Ave

Sporting have been excellent in the early stages of the season, and their home record makes it difficult to back against them securing another win here. The visitors have failed to win any of their last four league games, and we expect that to extend to five in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Rio Ave
66.32% ( -0.31)	20.24% ( 0.18)	13.44% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 46.64% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.66% (

-0.44)

47.33% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.44% (

-0.4)

69.55% (

0.4)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.61% (

-0.23)

13.39% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.68% (

-0.46)

40.32% (

0.45)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.85% (

-0.06)

46.15% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.16% (

-0.04)

81.83% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 66.31%

Rio Ave 13.44%

Draw 20.24%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Rio Ave
2-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 66.31%	1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.24%	0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.18% Total : 13.44%