Sporting Lisbon2 - 0Rio Ave
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Rio Ave
Sporting have been excellent in the early stages of the season, and their home record makes it difficult to back against them securing another win here. The visitors have failed to win any of their last four league games, and we expect that to extend to five in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
66.32% ( -0.31) | 20.24% ( 0.18) | 13.44% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.66% ( -0.44) | 47.33% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( -0.4) | 69.55% ( 0.4) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( -0.23) | 13.39% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.68% ( -0.46) | 40.32% ( 0.45) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.85% ( -0.06) | 46.15% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.16% ( -0.04) | 81.83% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 2-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 66.31% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.18% Total : 13.44% |
