Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 28, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
1 - 2
Porto

Costinha (52' pen.)
Aderlan (16'), Oudrhiri (32'), Sa (56'), Pantalon (62'), Freire (77+77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Galeno (90+1' pen.), Marcano (90+4')
Gonzalez (20'), Wendell (68'), Loader (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, August 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Farense
Sunday, August 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto have started the season very well and are one of just four sides that have a 100% win record after the first two matchdays. They will want to take the lead in the league at the soonest and we expect them to secure the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Porto
23.6% ( 0.12)	25.82% ( 0.13)	50.58% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 48% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.97% (

-0.38)

55.03% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.7% (

-0.31)

76.3% (

0.32)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.39% (

-0.1)

38.61% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.65% (

-0.1)

75.36% (

0.1)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.2% (

-0.26)

21.8% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.99% (

-0.4)

55.01% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 23.6%

Porto 50.57%

Draw 25.82%

Rio Ave	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 23.6%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.57%