Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 14, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
0 - 1
Guimaraes

FT(HT: 0-0)

Handel (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Maritimo 2-2 Rio Ave
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 3-0 Vizela
Sunday, May 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rio Ave 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Following a rough few weeks, Vitoria de Guimaraes appear to have gotten into gear as they push to finish in the top five. However, they face the challenge of taking on a Rio Ave side who are unbeaten in five of their last six home matches since mid-February. We predict an end-to-end affair at the Estadio dos Arcos with both sides canceling out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
39.61% ( -0.13)	28.22% ( 0.18)	32.16% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.64% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.55% (

-0.64)

59.45% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.18% (

-0.5)

79.82% (

0.5)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.72% (

-0.39)

29.28% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.76% (

-0.48)

65.24% (

0.48)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.95% (

-0.37)

34.05% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.27% (

-0.4)

70.73% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 39.61%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 32.16%

Draw 28.22%

Rio Ave	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.59% Total : 39.61%	1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.22%	0-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 32.16%