Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
39.61% ( -0.13) | 28.22% ( 0.18) | 32.16% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.64% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.55% ( -0.64) | 59.45% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.18% ( -0.5) | 79.82% ( 0.5) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( -0.39) | 29.28% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( -0.48) | 65.24% ( 0.48) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.95% ( -0.37) | 34.05% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.27% ( -0.4) | 70.73% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.59% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 32.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |