Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 20, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 1
Farense

Martinez (13'), Marcano (90+10')
Pepe (45+5'), Marcano (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Costa (45+1')
Falcao (61'), Pastor (74'), Matias (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 1-2 Porto
Monday, August 14 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 0-3 Casa Pia
Saturday, August 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

While Farense will be looking to get their campaign up and running this weekend, they have their work cut out against a formidable side in Porto. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two teams, we fancy the Dragoes to cruise to a comfortable victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 82.58%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 5.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.63%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.52%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	SC Farense
82.58% ( -0.71)	11.66% ( 0.48)	5.75% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 45.21% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.36% (

-1.48)

31.63% (

1.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.86% (

-1.76)

53.13% (

1.76)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.34% (

-0.41)

5.66% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.09% (

-1.18)

21.91% (

1.18)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.92% (

-0.4)

52.08% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.94% (

-0.26)

86.05% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Porto 82.57%

SC Farense 5.75%

Draw 11.66%

Porto	Draw	SC Farense
2-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.37) 3-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.47) 4-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.23) 5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.13) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) 7-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.06% Total : 82.57%	1-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 11.66%	0-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.03% Total : 5.75%