Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 12, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
0 - 3
Casa Pia

Elbachir Belloumi (65'), Barbosa (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Clayton (15'), Roberto dos Santos (64'), Godwin (90' pen.)
Neto (45+3'), Batista (49'), Mukendi (74'), Zolotic (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 2-4 Roma
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Torreense 0-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, July 30 at 6pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

We said: SC Farense 0-0 Casa Pia

Farense may find it difficult adjusting to life at the top again, and start the season against one of the Primeira Liga's most pragmatic outfits. Goals were not Casa Pia's strong point last season, and not much has been done to address that over the summer, so a cagey opener could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Casa Pia
36.83% ( 2.41)	28.23% ( -0.14)	34.94% ( -2.27)

Both teams to score 47.09% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.89% (

0.53)

59.11% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.45% (

0.41)

79.55% (

-0.41)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.23% (

1.82)

30.77% (

-1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.96% (

2.09)

67.04% (

-2.09)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.02% (

-1.17)

31.98% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56% (

-1.36)

68.43% (

1.36)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 36.83%

Casa Pia 34.93%

Draw 28.22%

SC Farense	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.22% Total : 36.83%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.22%	0-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.61) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.57) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.93%