Taca da Liga | First Round
Jul 23, 2023 at 6pm UK
Campo Cruz Do Reguengo
Vilaverdense0 - 2Casa Pia
Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between Vilaverdense and Casa Pia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, May 27 at 12.45pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 27 at 12.45pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vilaverdense win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vilaverdense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vilaverdense | Draw | Casa Pia |
38.89% ( -0.33) | 26.98% ( 0.08) | 34.13% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 50.79% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.56% ( -0.31) | 54.44% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.19% ( -0.26) | 75.81% ( 0.25) |
| Vilaverdense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% ( -0.33) | 27.29% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.27% ( -0.43) | 62.73% ( 0.42) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% ( 0) | 30.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.7% ( 0) | 66.3% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Vilaverdense 38.88%
Casa Pia 34.13%
Draw 26.98%
| Vilaverdense | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.88% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.13% |
