Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Rio Ave |
25.71% ( 0.29) | 25.72% ( 0.03) | 48.57% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 50.32% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.99% ( 0.1) | 53.01% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.39% ( 0.08) | 74.6% ( -0.09) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.38% ( 0.3) | 35.62% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.61% ( 0.31) | 72.39% ( -0.31) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( -0.1) | 21.84% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% ( -0.15) | 55.07% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.71% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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