Farense2 - 3Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, September 27 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Monday, September 25 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: SC Farense 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting should nick a slender victory at Farense to extend their unbeaten run to seven, thus retaining top spot. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 13.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.34%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
13.66% ( 0.04) | 19.64% ( 0.02) | 66.7% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.16% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.72% ( -0.02) | 44.27% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( -0.02) | 66.65% ( 0.02) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.09% ( 0.05) | 43.91% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.96% ( 0.04) | 80.04% ( -0.04) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.64% ( -0.03) | 12.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.8% ( -0.05) | 38.2% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.36% Total : 13.66% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 19.64% | 0-2 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 11.34% 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.27% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.8% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.49% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.22% Total : 66.69% |
