Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Sep 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Farense1 - 0Tondela
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between SC Farense and Tondela.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Farense
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Tondela
Saturday, September 9 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Saturday, September 9 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SC Farense in this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Tondela |
37.23% ( -0.09) | 26.74% ( 0.12) | 36.02% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.74% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.67% ( -0.48) | 53.32% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.13% ( -0.4) | 74.87% ( 0.41) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( -0.28) | 27.71% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.73% ( -0.36) | 63.27% ( 0.36) |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% ( -0.25) | 28.42% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.82% ( -0.31) | 64.18% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
SC Farense 37.22%
Tondela 36.02%
Draw 26.74%
| SC Farense | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.02% |
Head to Head
