Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SC Farense in this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Tondela
37.23% ( -0.09)	26.74% ( 0.12)	36.02% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.74% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.67% (

-0.48)

53.32% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.13% (

-0.4)

74.87% (

0.41)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

-0.28)

27.71% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.73% (

-0.36)

63.27% (

0.36)

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57% (

-0.25)

28.42% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82% (

-0.31)

64.18% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 37.22%

Tondela 36.02%

Draw 26.74%

SC Farense	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.22%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.02%