Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense1 - 0Farense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Moreirense
Sunday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 3-1 Braga
Saturday, September 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Moreirense 2-2 SC Farense
The two sides played out a 1-1 draw in July's Taca da Liga fixture before Farense won the subsequent penalty shootout, and while the visitors will want to secure an outright victory this time around, we think that they will settle for a point after losing their opening two away league matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | SC Farense |
46.26% ( -0.01) | 25.3% ( 0) | 28.44% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.72% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.42% ( -0.01) | 49.57% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.4% ( -0.01) | 71.6% ( 0.01) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.56% ( -0.01) | 21.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.55% ( -0.01) | 54.45% ( 0.01) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( -0) | 31.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.97% ( -0) | 68.03% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Moreirense 46.25%
SC Farense 28.44%
Draw 25.29%
| Moreirense | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 46.25% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.44% |
Head to Head
Form Guide
