Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 24, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
0 - 1
Inter Milan

Pezzella (33'), Maleh (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dimarco (51')
Acerbi (26'), Bastoni (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 7-0 Empoli
Sunday, September 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Empoli 1-3 Inter Milan

Empoli can get off the mark with an overdue goal this weekend, though even if they end their drought Inter simply boast too much firepower for them to handle. A change of management may eventually have some effect on the Azzurri's ailing fortunes, but their Milanese counterparts will take charge of proceedings in Sunday's early kickoff and post a fifth league win on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Inter Milan
15.84% ( 0.02)	21.79% ( -0.03)	62.37% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.67% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.9% (

0.14)

49.1% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.83% (

0.13)

71.18% (

-0.12)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.2% (

0.11)

43.8% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.04% (

0.09)

79.96% (

-0.08)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.82% (

0.05)

15.18% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.2% (

0.09)

43.8% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Empoli 15.84%

Inter Milan 62.36%

Draw 21.78%

Empoli	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.27% 3-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.53% Total : 15.84%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.78%	0-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 11.81% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.5% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 62.36%