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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan logo

Inter Milan
5 - 1
AC Milan

Mkhitaryan (5', 69'), Thuram (38'), Calhanoglu (79' pen.), Frattesi (90+3')
Calhanoglu (72'), Frattesi (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Leao (57')
Thiaw (24'), Hernandez (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-2 AC Milan
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan

Inter and Milan not only top the table together but have also scored the most goals in Serie A this season, with eight apiece. However, Saturday's contest should be much tighter, with the fear of derby defeat proving a major factor. As a result, scoring twice would surely be enough to secure maximum points, and such is the Nerazzurri's firepower they can do so and beat their Rossoneri rivals once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
47.42% (0.0019999999999953 0) 25.76% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.82%
Both teams to score 51.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.42% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.00099999999999056 0)22.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)55.47% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.38% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 47.42%
    AC Milan 26.82%
    Draw 25.75%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 8.66%
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-0 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.82%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs AC Milan

Inter Milan
59.6%
Draw
20.2%
AC Milan
20.2%
99
Head to Head
May 16, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Inter Milan
1-0
AC Milan
Martinez (74')
Barella (79'), Martinez (81')

Thiaw (56'), Tonali (79'), Tomori (81'), Krunic (81')
May 10, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
0-2
Inter Milan
Dzeko (8'), Mkhitaryan (11')
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 18, 2023 7pm
Sep 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 5
AC Milan
3-2
Inter Milan
Leao (28', 60'), Giroud (54')
Hernandez (9'), Giroud (32'), De Ketelaere (51'), Tonali (77'), Leao (90+4')
Brozovic (21'), Dzeko (67')
Dumfries (9'), Brozovic (39'), Inzaghi (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bengals
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14Como122461323-1010
15Genoa12246922-1310
16CagliariCagliari11236919-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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