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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan logo

Inter Milan
5 - 1
AC Milan

Mkhitaryan (5', 69'), Thuram (38'), Calhanoglu (79' pen.), Frattesi (90+3')
Calhanoglu (72'), Frattesi (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Leao (57')
Thiaw (24'), Hernandez (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-2 AC Milan
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan

 Inter and Milan not only top the table together but have also scored the most goals in Serie A this season, with eight apiece. However, Saturday's contest should be much tighter, with the fear of derby defeat proving a major factor. As a result, scoring twice would surely be enough to secure maximum points, and such is the Nerazzurri's firepower they can do so and beat their Rossoneri rivals once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
47.42% (0.0019999999999953 0) 25.76% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.82%
Both teams to score 51.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.42% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.00099999999999056 0)22.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)55.47% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.38% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 47.42%
    AC Milan 26.82%
    Draw 25.75%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 8.66%
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-0 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.82%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs AC Milan

Inter Milan
59.6%
Draw
20.2%
AC Milan
20.2%
99
Head to Head
May 16, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Inter Milan
1-0
AC Milan
Martinez (74')
Barella (79'), Martinez (81')

Thiaw (56'), Tonali (79'), Tomori (81'), Krunic (81')
> Match Report
May 10, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
0-2
Inter Milan
Dzeko (8'), Mkhitaryan (11')
> Match Report
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Inter Milan
1-0
AC Milan
Martinez (34')
> Preview
Jan 18, 2023 7pm
Final
AC Milan
0-3
Inter Milan
Dimarco (10'), Dzeko (21'), Martinez (77')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 5
AC Milan
3-2
Inter Milan
Leao (28', 60'), Giroud (54')
Hernandez (9'), Giroud (32'), De Ketelaere (51'), Tonali (77'), Leao (90+4')
Brozovic (21'), Dzeko (67')
Dumfries (9'), Brozovic (39'), Inzaghi (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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