Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
47.42% ( 0) | 25.76% ( 0) | 26.82% |
Both teams to score 51.11% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.58% ( -0) | 52.42% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.9% ( -0) | 74.1% ( 0) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( 0) | 22.1% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.53% ( -0) | 55.47% ( 0.01) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.62% ( -0) | 34.38% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.91% ( -0) | 71.09% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.66% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.23% Total : 47.42% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
15 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |