Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
0 - 2
AC Milan

Aebischer (30'), Zirkzee (77')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Giroud (11'), Pulisic (21')
Hernandez (51'), Krunic (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Bologna and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Cesena
Friday, August 11 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 4-2 Novara
Sunday, August 13 at 9.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Milan may take a while to gel following a summer of upheaval on and off the pitch, so a well-prepared Bologna side should restrict the Rossoneri to just one point. Though their past record in this fixture may not suggest so, the Emilians are generally tough to beat on home turf - however, they probably lack sufficient firepower to cause an opening-day upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Bologna	Draw	AC Milan
38.01% ( 0.06)	27.27% ( -0.02)	34.72% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 49.97% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.49% (

0.08)

55.51% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.31% (

0.07)

76.69% (

-0.07)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7% (

0.07)

28.3% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.98% (

0.09)

64.02% (

-0.09)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69% (

0.02)

30.31% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51% (

0.02)

66.49% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Bologna 38.01%

AC Milan 34.71%

Draw 27.26%

Bologna	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.01%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.71%