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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Bologna logo

Lecce
2 - 3
Bologna

Banda (17'), Oudin (88')
Gallo (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arnautovic (58'), Zirkzee (81'), Ferguson (90+7')
Posch (35'), Aebischer (84'), Zirkzee (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 0-1 Lecce
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-2 Napoli
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 2-2 Bologna

The Stadio Via del Mare faithful will be in party mode on Sunday as they cheer on their team without any lingering relegation fears. Bologna will be eager to finish as high up the table as possible, but the visitors may have to settle for a share of the spoils as the hosts aim to sign off on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawBologna
35.99% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 27.9% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 36.11% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.11% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)30.68% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)66.93% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (0.040999999999997 0.04)30.6% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (0.047999999999995 0.05)66.83% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 35.98%
    Bologna 36.11%
    Draw 27.89%
LecceDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 35.98%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.11%

How you voted: Lecce vs Bologna

Lecce
33.3%
Draw
31.0%
Bologna
35.7%
42
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
gameweek 11
Bologna
2-0
Lecce
Arnautovic (13' pen.), Ferguson (34')
Jul 26, 2020 4.15pm
gameweek 36
Bologna
3-2
Lecce
Palacio (2'), Soriano (5'), Barrow (90+3')
Palacio (43')
Mancosu (45+2')
Dec 22, 2019 2pm
gameweek 17
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Babacar (85'), Farias (91')
Tachtsidis (41'), Babacar (53'), Calderoni (89')
Orsolini (43', 66'), Soriano (56')
Medel (41'), M'baye (44'), Schouten (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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