Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Bologna |
35.99% ( -0.06) | 27.9% ( -0) | 36.11% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.11% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.13% ( 0) | 57.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.41% ( 0) | 78.58% ( -0.01) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.32% ( -0.04) | 30.68% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.07% ( -0.04) | 66.93% ( 0.04) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.4% ( 0.04) | 30.6% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.16% ( 0.05) | 66.83% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 35.98% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.39% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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