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Inter logo
Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan logo

Inter Milan
1 - 0
AC Milan

Martinez (34')
Mkhitaryan (67'), Acerbi (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kalulu (32'), Gabbia (49'), Leao (62'), Giroud (84'), Rebic (88')

Preview: Inter Milan vs. AC Milan - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Just weeks after their most recent derby success, Inter Milan aim to heap more misery on AC Milan in Sunday's late kickoff at San Siro.

Having beaten their city rivals in the Supercoppa Italiana, now Inter seek victory to stay 'best of the rest' behind distant Serie A leaders Napoli. Meanwhile, the champions have conceded 12 times in losing their last three matches and may well be fearing the latest Derby della Madonnina.


Match preview

Inter Milan's Edin Dzeko celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 4, 2023© Reuters

Approaching the 178th Milan derby in Serie A, Inter lead the ledger with 67 wins to Milan's 54, though their most recent triumph outside league football came far from Italy's second city.

In Riyadh last month, Simone Inzaghi's Coppa Italia winners swept aside the Scudetto-holders in the Supercoppa Italiana, but they have experienced mixed fortunes since.

After last week's comeback win over rock-bottom Cremonese, when Lautaro Martinez scored twice to turn the scoreline around after an early setback, Inter have won nine of their last 12 top-flight matches - including against previously unbeaten Napoli - but they slipped up at home to Empoli in their most recent home fixture.

Tuesday's 1-0 win over regional rivals Atalanta then saw the Nerazzurri progress to the Coppa Italia semi-finals, and their defence of the trophy will continue with a two-legged tie versus Juventus in April.

While Romelu Lukaku continues to toil in his comeback campaign, Martinez and evergreen Edin Dzeko have kept the goals tally ticking along, but it is their record at San Siro which makes Inter many pundits' favourites to finish runners-up: no team has conceded fewer home goals in Serie A this season; only Napoli have gained more points on home soil.

They have lost both of their last two 'home' derbies in the league, however, which is as many as they had suffered in their previous 16.

AC Milan coach Stefano Pioli reacts on January 8, 2023© Reuters

Searching for a third straight Serie A win against Inter for the first time since February 2004, Milan had held the upper hand over their stadium-sharing cousins of late, having dethroned them as champions by edging a dramatic title race last year.

A 3-2 victory in September's reverse fixture featured a memorable Rafael Leao brace, but prospects of doing the double over the Nerazzurri for the first time in 12 years have diminished rapidly given more recent results.

After fumbling two points at home to Roma, then exiting the Coppa Italia, Milan just managed to salvage a 2-2 draw at Lecce, but after their Supercoppa defeat in Saudi Arabia things have gone from bad to worse.

Thumped 4-0 by Lazio in the capital, Stefano Pioli's men ended last month with a 5-2 home humbling at the hands of struggling Sassuolo, as any lingering hopes of retaining the Scudetto crumbled before their fans' eyes.

With former Inter boss Pioli now under pressure to produce a turnaround for the derby, Milan are also aiming to avoid losing four games in a row for the first time since early 2017.

However, having conceded 18 goals during January - more than the club have ever shipped in a single month throughout Serie A history - they not only languish 15 points adrift of the summit but are also embroiled in the fight for a top-four finish.

Inter Milan Serie A form:


Inter Milan form (all competitions):


AC Milan Serie A form:


AC Milan form (all competitions):



Team News

Nicolo Barella in action for Inter Milan on August 20, 2022© Reuters

As both Stefan de Vrij and Nicolo Barella return from suspension, and midfielder Marcelo Brozovic is back in full training following an injury layoff, Inter coach Simone Inzaghi should have a full hand from which to choose on Sunday.

Veteran goalkeeper Samir Handanovic is also expected to return as back-up to Andre Onana, while Milan Skriniar could start in defence despite declaring his intent to leave San Siro in the summer.

Up front, Edin Dzeko partners Lautaro Martinez, the latter of whom has scored six goals against Milan in all competitions and would become the second-highest foreign scorer for Inter in this fixture by adding another.

Continuing their lack of luck on the injury front, Milan's lineup will be missing several key men, as a thigh problem for Ismael Bennacer sees the midfielder ruled out of the derby, in addition to Fikayo Tomori (hip) and first-choice goalkeeper Mike Maignan (calf).

Ex-Inter striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic has finally returned to training following an ACL reconstruction, but the 41-year-old will not be available to Stefano Pioli just yet. Instead, Olivier Giroud - who scored three times in his first two league meetings with Inter - leads the line up front.

In Bennacer's absence, Tommaso Pobega and Rade Krunic are front-runners to partner Sandro Tonali in central midfield, while rumours persist that Pioli may change his tried and trusted 4-2-3-1 formation in order to arrest his side's slump.

Inter Milan possible starting lineup:
Onana; Skriniar, Acerbi, Bastoni; Darmian, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Martinez, Dzeko

AC Milan possible starting lineup:
Tatarusanu; Calabria, Kalulu, Kjaer, Hernandez; Pobega, Tonali, Krunic; Saelemaekers, Giroud, Leao


SM words green background

We say: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan

Such has been Milan's collapse over recent weeks, it is hard to see them rallying for the Derby della Madonnina and preventing an Inter victory. While not quite the finished article, the Nerazzurri are more likely to win the midfield battle and boast plenty of possible goalscorers.

For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data


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Game History

How you voted: Inter Milan vs AC Milan

Inter Milan
79.8%
Draw
9.6%
AC Milan
10.6%
198
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AC Milan's Rafael Leao celebrates scoring their third goal on September 3, 2022
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14Como122461323-1010
15Genoa12246922-1310
16CagliariCagliari11236919-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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