We said: AC Milan 1-0 Torino
Generally tough to beat, Torino may fancy their chances of leaving San Siro with at least a point, but a lack of firepower is set to haunt them again. Should the visitors fail to score their first Serie A goal of the season, Milan's new-look attack can punish them - particularly as Stefano Pioli can now call upon some lively options from the bench.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Torino had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.