Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Bologna |
41.59% ( 2.34) | 26.97% ( 0.98) | 31.44% ( -3.32) |
Both teams to score 50.1% ( -4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.01% ( -4.71) | 54.99% ( 4.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.74% ( -4.04) | 76.26% ( 4.04) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% ( -0.91) | 26.07% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.88% ( -1.23) | 61.12% ( 1.24) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% ( -4.52) | 32.24% ( 4.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.26% ( -5.45) | 68.74% ( 5.45) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 11.3% ( 1.68) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.96) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.22% Total : 41.59% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 1.43) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.6) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.68) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.66) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.5) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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