Coppa Italia | Second Round

Nov 1, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
2 - 4
Parma

Piccoli (54'), Espeto (76')
Espeto (72'), Berisha (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sohm (9'), Bonny (28'), Pongracic (90+4' og.), Man (90+7' pen.)
Mihaila (33'), Coulibaly (74'), Zagaritis (85')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Lecce and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Torino
Saturday, October 28 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Parma

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Ascoli 1-3 Parma
Saturday, October 28 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce have struggled for goals of late, but a change of personnel could help them recover their poise in the final third. Under Fabio Pecchia, Parma rarely concede more than once, but their hosts have some skilful forwards that can open up the Gialloblu's back line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Parma had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Parma
44.47% ( 0.05)	26.92% ( 0.12)	28.61% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 48.9% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.12% (

-0.55)

55.87% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.01% (

-0.45)

76.99% (

0.44)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

-0.22)

24.99% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.35% (

-0.31)

59.65% (

0.3)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.2% (

-0.43)

34.8% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.47% (

-0.46)

71.53% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Lecce 44.46%

Parma 28.61%

Draw 26.92%

Lecce	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.46%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.16% Total : 28.61%