Lecce2 - 1Frosinone
We said: Lecce 2-1 Frosinone
Even though another Lecce tie should not surprise observers, we are backing D'Aversa's troops to end their extended wait for maximum points against Frosinone this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lecce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lecce.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Frosinone |
49.46% ( 0.1) | 25.6% ( 0.01) | 24.93% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.95% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( -0.1) | 53.14% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.28% ( -0.09) | 74.71% ( 0.09) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.5% ( 0.01) | 21.5% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.44% ( 0.01) | 54.55% ( -0) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.64% ( -0.15) | 36.36% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.85% ( -0.15) | 73.15% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Frosinone |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 49.46% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 24.93% |
How you voted: Lecce vs Frosinone
Adjapong (14'), Meccariello (51'), Listkowski (82'), Tachtsidis (90+4')
