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Serie A
Juventus logo
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
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Juventus
1 - 0
Roma

Rabiot (47')
Locatelli (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Paredes (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions
Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Serie A

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Napoli
Saturday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Roma

 The 1-0 win is written deep in Juve's DNA, and a tactical tussle between Allegri and Mourinho is not likely to develop into a goalfest. A single strike could decide the points' destiny, and the Bianconeri's ability to get the job done against other top-four rivals should prove enough to see off Roma. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawRoma
41.67% (-0.454 -0.45) 28.75% (-0.217 -0.22) 29.57% (0.669 0.67)
Both teams to score 44.31% (0.854 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.07% (0.916 0.92)61.92% (-0.917 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.31% (0.668 0.67)81.68% (-0.67 -0.67)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (0.19500000000001 0.2)29.31% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (0.24 0.24)65.28% (-0.241 -0.24)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (1.038 1.04)37.32% (-1.04 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (1.011 1.01)74.1% (-1.012 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 41.67%
    Roma 29.57%
    Draw 28.74%
JuventusDrawRoma
1-0 @ 13.42% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 41.67%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.93% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.74%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.179 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.118 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.117 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Juventus vs Roma

Juventus
69.4%
Draw
13.7%
Roma
16.9%
124
Head to Head
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Gameweek 25
Roma
1-0
Juventus
Mancini (53')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Juventus
1-1
Roma
Vlahovic (2')
Locatelli (6'), Kostic (77')
Abraham (69')
Cristante (41'), Celik (90+4')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Roma
3-4
Juventus
Abraham (11'), Mkhitaryan (48'), Pellegrini (53')
Veretout (50'), Ibanez (51'), Cristante (76')
Dybala (18'), Locatelli (70'), Kulusevski (72'), De Sciglio (77')
Cuadrado (45+3'), de Ligt (52'), Locatelli (65')
de Ligt (81')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Juventus
1-0
Roma
Kean (16')
Szczesny (42'), De Sciglio (49'), Danilo (87')

Abraham (45+3'), El Shaarawy (70'), Shomurodov (85'), Mancini (89'), Karsdorp (90+3')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 21
Juventus
2-0
Roma
Ronaldo (13'), Ibanez (69' og.)
Arthur (37'), Ronaldo (62')

Mancini (35'), Kumbulla (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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