We said: Roma 2-1 Sheriff Tiraspol
Roma have recently been dominant on home soil, winning five games on the spin as hosts before drawing with Fiorentina last time out. With some high-calibre options among his fringe players, Jose Mourinho can still send out a side that sees off Sheriff - but a win for Group G leaders Slavia Prague may still consign them to the playoffs.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.