Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Dec 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Lukaku (5')
Cristante (37'), Zalewski (41'), Paredes (80'), Llorente (90+6')
Zalewski (64'), Lukaku (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (66')
Ikone (64'), Biraghi (75'), Duncan (86')
Milenkovic (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Roma
Sunday, December 3 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Parma (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina do not always travel well, while Roma are a formidable force at home. The Giallorossi should therefore expect to continue their upturn in fortunes, as their squad depth is now quite impressive; helping them stay strong into the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Fiorentina
46.99% ( 0.21)	25.45% ( -0.09)	27.55% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 52.62% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.28% (

0.31)

50.72% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.38% (

0.28)

72.62% (

-0.28)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.41% (

0.22)

21.59% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.31% (

0.34)

54.68% (

-0.34)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.1% (

0.08)

32.89% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.53% (

0.08)

69.46% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Roma 46.99%

Fiorentina 27.55%

Draw 25.45%

Roma	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 46.99%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.55%