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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Fiorentina logo

Roma
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Lukaku (5')
Cristante (37'), Zalewski (41'), Paredes (80'), Llorente (90+6')
Zalewski (64'), Lukaku (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (66')
Ikone (64'), Biraghi (75'), Duncan (86')
Milenkovic (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Roma
Sunday, December 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-1 Fiorentina

Fiorentina do not always travel well, while Roma are a formidable force at home. The Giallorossi should therefore expect to continue their upturn in fortunes, as their squad depth is now quite impressive; helping them stay strong into the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawFiorentina
46.99% (0.20500000000001 0.21) 25.45% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 27.55% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (0.311 0.31)50.72% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.276 0.28)72.62% (-0.28 -0.28)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (0.22099999999999 0.22)21.59% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (0.338 0.34)54.68% (-0.343 -0.34)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (0.075999999999993 0.08)32.89% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53% (0.082999999999998 0.08)69.46% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Roma 46.99%
    Fiorentina 27.55%
    Draw 25.45%
RomaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 46.99%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.55%

How you voted: Roma vs Fiorentina

Roma
72.5%
Draw
15.9%
Fiorentina
11.6%
69
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 37
Fiorentina
2-1
Roma
Jovic (85'), Ikone (88')
Saponara (25'), Martinez (42'), Venuti (50'), Jovic (64'), Julio (77')
El Shaarawy (11')
Missori (32'), Solbakken (58'), Svilar (75'), Mourinho (84')
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Dybala (40', 82')
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-0
Roma
Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')

Mancini (24')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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