Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 73.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Salernitana |
73.49% ( 0.45) | 16.39% ( -0.06) | 10.11% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 48.77% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.31% ( -0.89) | 38.69% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39% ( -0.95) | 61% ( 0.95) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.9% ( -0.12) | 9.09% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.1% ( -0.29) | 30.9% ( 0.29) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.65% ( -1.34) | 46.35% ( 1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.01% ( -1.05) | 81.99% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.95% Total : 73.48% | 1-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.83% Total : 16.39% | 0-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.72% Total : 10.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Torino | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Napoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
4 | Udinese | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
5 | Juventus | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
6 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Inter Milan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
8 | Lazio | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
10 | Roma | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
11 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
12 | Bologna | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
13 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
14 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
15 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
16 | Como | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |