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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Salernitana

Fiorentina
3 - 0
Salernitana

Beltran (6' pen.), Sottil (17'), Bonaventura (56')
Ranieri (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Genk
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Salernitana

As Salernitana have picked up just two points on their travels so far, surely inconsistent Fiorentina can capitalise on home advantage to secure a much-needed Serie A success. While the hosts may lack a consistent goalscorer, their visitors are far from reliable in defence and can be caught out at least once at Stadio Franchi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 73.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
73.49% (0.45099999999999 0.45) 16.39% (-0.064 -0.06) 10.11% (-0.385 -0.39)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-1.282 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.31% (-0.892 -0.89)38.69% (0.894 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39% (-0.947 -0.95)61% (0.95 0.95)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.9% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)9.09% (0.1191 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.1% (-0.286 -0.29)30.9% (0.289 0.29)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.65% (-1.339 -1.34)46.35% (1.342 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.01% (-1.049 -1.05)81.99% (1.051 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 73.48%
    Salernitana 10.11%
    Draw 16.39%
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 12.11% (0.38 0.38)
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.363 0.36)
3-0 @ 9.68% (0.249 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 5.8% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 4.46% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
5-0 @ 2.78% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.14% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.096 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.11% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 73.48%
1-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 16.39%
0-1 @ 3.24% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.99% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 1.25% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 10.11%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Salernitana

Fiorentina
84.6%
Draw
12.8%
Salernitana
2.6%
39
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 33
Salernitana
3-3
Fiorentina
Dia (10', 59', 81' pen.)
Gonzalez (36'), Ikone (71'), Biraghi (84')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
2-1
Salernitana
Bonaventura (15'), Jovic (81')
Dia (55')
Apr 24, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 34
Salernitana
2-1
Fiorentina
Djuric (9'), Bonazzoli (79')
Gyomber (22')
Saponara (64')
Milenkovic (82')
Dec 11, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
4-0
Salernitana
Bonaventura (31'), Vlahovic (51', 84'), Maleh (90')
Milenkovic (11')

Kastanos (20')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AC Milan6321147711
2Torino532085311
3Napoli531194510
4Udinese531177010
5Juventus52306069
6Empoli52305239
7Inter Milan522110558
8Lazio52129817
9Atalanta BCAtalanta52031011-16
10Roma51315326
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona52038806
12Bologna513168-26
13Fiorentina51317706
14Parma512289-15
15Lecce6123311-85
16Como512269-35
17Genoa512247-35
18VeneziaVenezia511338-54
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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