MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 18:53:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Serie A header desktop

Serie A
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Fiorentina logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Hernandez (45+2' pen.)
Tomori (56'), Pioli (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Arthur (12'), Parisi (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-2 AC Milan
Saturday, November 11 at 2pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Bologna
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina

 With their Scudetto hopes already diminishing by the week, Milan must pick up points to keep pressure on Serie A's top two. The Rossoneri's win-rate drops some 20% without either Rafael Leao or Olivier Giroud on the pitch, but Fiorentina are also lacking a clinical finisher and could be picked off on the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
43.48%25.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 31.02% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 54.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.14% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)56.1%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 43.48%
    Fiorentina 31.02%
    Draw 25.49%
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 9.01%
2-0 @ 7.4%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-0 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 43.48%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.95%
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 31.02%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Fiorentina

AC Milan
72.7%
Draw
16.4%
Fiorentina
10.9%
55
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
2-1
AC Milan
Gonzalez (49' pen.), Jovic (87')
Hernandez (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 15
AC Milan
2-1
Fiorentina
Leao (2'), Milenkovic (90+2' og.)
Barak (28')
> Preview
May 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 35
AC Milan
1-0
Fiorentina
Leao (82')
Bennacer (88')

Maleh (2'), Venuti (42'), Martinez (72')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Fiorentina
4-3
AC Milan
Duncan (15'), Saponara (45+1'), Vlahovic (60', 85')
Castrovilli (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (62', 67'), Venuti (90+6' og.)
Hernandez (90+5')
> Preview
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 28
Fiorentina
2-3
AC Milan
Pulgar (17'), Ribery (51')
Prandelli (65'), Kouame (89')
Ibrahimovic (9'), Diaz (57'), Calhanoglu (72')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (47'), Meite (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!