Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
48.58% ( -0.61) | 25.33% ( -0.08) | 26.09% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 51.82% ( 0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.8% ( 0.82) | 51.2% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.96% ( 0.71) | 73.04% ( -0.71) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.91% ( 0.07) | 21.09% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.08% ( 0.11) | 53.91% ( -0.11) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.67% ( 1.02) | 34.32% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.97% ( 1.08) | 71.03% ( -1.08) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.57% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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