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Serie A
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Juventus logo

AC Milan
0 - 1
Juventus


Reijnders (61')
Thiaw (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Locatelli (63')
Weah (52'), McKennie (67'), Gatti (71'), Locatelli (72'), Allegri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, October 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Juventus

All competitions
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Torino
Saturday, October 7 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Juventus

 Without a couple of key players due to suspension, Milan may be considered vulnerable going into Sunday's late kickoff. Nevertheless, the Rossoneri still possess an attacking trident that can pierce Juve's watertight defence. One goal could decide a tight contest: in eight of the last 11 Serie A meetings between these teams at San Siro, at least one has failed to score. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawJuventus
48.58% (-0.611 -0.61) 25.33% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 26.09% (0.693 0.69)
Both teams to score 51.82% (0.856 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.8% (0.82 0.82)51.2% (-0.816 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.96% (0.712 0.71)73.04% (-0.708 -0.71)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.074000000000012 0.07)21.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08% (0.112 0.11)53.91% (-0.108 -0.11)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (1.024 1.02)34.32% (-1.021 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97% (1.082 1.08)71.03% (-1.077 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 48.57%
    Juventus 26.09%
    Draw 25.32%
AC MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 48.57%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.09%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Juventus

AC Milan
63.9%
Draw
22.9%
Juventus
13.2%
144
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2023 3.30am
Club Friendlies
Juventus
2-2
AC Milan
 Juventus win 0-0 on penalties
Danilo (33'), Rugani (48')
Locatelli (54')
Thiaw (23'), Giroud (39')
Thiaw (15')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Juventus
0-1
AC Milan

Cuadrado (56')
Giroud (40')
Messias (34'), Krunic (64')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Juventus
Tomori (45+1'), Diaz (54')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
AC Milan
0-0
Juventus
Leao (12'), Messias (42')
Locatelli (9'), Kean (89')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Juventus
1-1
AC Milan
Morata (4')
Dybala (65')
Rebic (76')
Tonali (65')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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