Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 5pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
Sassuolo4 - 2Juventus
We said: Sassuolo 1-2 Juventus
A dire record against Juventus and some slipshod defending so far this season could set Sassuolo up for a fourth loss from five to start the Serie A season. Juve have shown signs of the synchronicity missing since their last Scudetto win, and they are proving particularly effective away from home. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Juventus |
29.28% ( -0.23) | 26.22% ( 0.05) | 44.49% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
