With precedent firmly on their side, Milan can bounce back from a tough week to post their fourth win from five Serie A matches this season. Verona may have overachieved in the early days of the 2023-24 campaign, but their limitations remain more or less the same as last year - and they have never before beaten Milan in a top-flight match at San Siro.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
-0.28) 
0.11) 
