Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Nov 11, 2023 at 5pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
2 - 1
Cagliari

Bremer (60'), Rugani (70')
McKennie (57'), Kostic (82'), Cambiaso (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dossena (75')
Luvumbo (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-1 Juventus
Sunday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Genoa
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Juventus 2-0 Cagliari

Although they have finally found a way to win, Cagliari have conceded more goals from open play than any other Serie A side this season (18), and they are not the most obvious candidate to end their hosts' superb sequence of clean sheets. Victory would put Juventus top of the table - if only for a day - and that should inspire them to avoid any complacency. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 21.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Cagliari
52.92% ( 0.67)	25.36% ( 0.09)	21.73% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 47.17% (

-1.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.98% (

-1.07)

55.02% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.72% (

-0.89)

76.28% (

0.9)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.19% (

-0.15)

20.81% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.52% (

-0.24)

53.48% (

0.25)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.57% (

-1.36)

40.43% (

1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.96% (

-1.26)

77.04% (

1.26)

Score Analysis

Juventus 52.9%

Cagliari 21.73%

Draw 25.36%

Juventus	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.34% Total : 52.9%	1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.73%