Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Juventus |
38.45% ( 0.01) | 26.95% ( -0) | 34.61% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.96% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.74% ( 0) | 54.26% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.34% ( 0) | 75.66% ( -0) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.55% ( 0) | 27.45% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.06% ( 0.01) | 62.94% ( -0.01) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.24% | 29.76% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.17% | 65.83% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.45% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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