Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 17, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 0
Roma

Moro (37'), Kristensen (49' og.)
Saelemaekers (9'), Beukema (33'), Ferguson (45+1'), Freuler (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Llorente (9'), Pellegrini (36'), Paredes (66'), Bove (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, December 10 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 3-0 Sheriff Tiraspol
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

In the last five Serie A meetings between Bologna and Roma, only three goals have been scored, while both clubs are inside this term's top six for fewest shots on target conceded. With the stakes fairly high, given their close proximity in the table, a stalemate may be the likeliest outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Roma
34.12% ( -0.04)	29.14% ( -0.76)	36.74% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 44.41% (

2.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.64% (

2.47)

62.36% (

-2.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18% (

1.77)

82% (

-1.77)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78% (

1.29)

34.22% (

-1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.08% (

1.36)

70.91% (

-1.36)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.52% (

1.82)

32.48% (

-1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.99% (

69.01% (

-2)

Score Analysis

Bologna 34.12%

Roma 36.73%

Draw 29.14%

Bologna	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.69) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.32% Total : 34.12%	1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 11.11% ( -1.07) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.3) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.14%	0-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.54) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.73%