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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Inter logo

Genoa
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Dragusin (45+7')
Gilardino (56'), Gudmundsson (66'), Dragusin (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arnautovic (42')
Barella (77'), Mkhitaryan (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Genoa
Friday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-2 Inter Milan

Although Genoa have proven tough to beat at Marasssi, there is simply no stopping Serie A leaders Inter, who are set to confirm their status as 'Winter Champions' by claiming maximum points in Liguria. Even a handful of injuries cannot derail Simone Inzaghi's impressive squad, who will end a memorable year in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawInter Milan
27.52% (-0.819 -0.82) 26.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 45.89% (0.813 0.81)
Both teams to score 49.14% (-0.55 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.77% (-0.452 -0.45)55.23% (0.45 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54% (-0.374 -0.37)76.46% (0.371 0.37)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (-0.892 -0.89)35.32% (0.889 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (-0.939 -0.94)72.08% (0.938 0.94)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (0.193 0.19)24.02% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (0.276 0.28)58.28% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 27.52%
    Inter Milan 45.89%
    Draw 26.59%
GenoaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.55% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.59% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 27.52%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 12.1% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.63% (0.245 0.25)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.1% (0.139 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45.89%

How you voted: Genoa vs Inter Milan

Genoa
6.5%
Draw
8.4%
Inter Milan
85.2%
155
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2022 8.05pm
Gameweek 27
Genoa
0-0
Inter Milan
Portanova (72'), Gudmundsson (74'), Blessin (75')
Perisic (54')
Aug 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
4-0
Genoa
Skriniar (6'), Calhanoglu (14'), Vidal (74'), Dzeko (87')
Vecino (78')

Criscito (2'), Sturaro (66')
Feb 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 24
Inter Milan
3-0
Genoa
Lukaku (1'), Darmian (69'), Sanchez (80')

Zapata (19'), Strootman (40')
Oct 24, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 5
Genoa
0-2
Inter Milan

Bani (86')
Lukaku (64'), D'Ambrosio (79')
Martinez (40')
Jul 25, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 36
Genoa
0-3
Inter Milan

Criscito (16'), Romero (45+1')
Lukaku (34', 90+3'), Sanchez (83')
Gagliardini (42'), Ranocchia (74'), Handanovic (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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