Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa1 - 1Inter Milan
FT(HT: 1-1)
We said: Genoa 1-2 Inter Milan
Although Genoa have proven tough to beat at Marasssi, there is simply no stopping Serie A leaders Inter, who are set to confirm their status as 'Winter Champions' by claiming maximum points in Liguria. Even a handful of injuries cannot derail Simone Inzaghi's impressive squad, who will end a memorable year in style. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Inter Milan |
27.52% ( -0.82) | 26.6% ( 0) | 45.89% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 49.14% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.77% ( -0.45) | 55.23% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% ( -0.37) | 76.46% ( 0.37) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.68% ( -0.89) | 35.32% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.92% ( -0.94) | 72.08% ( 0.94) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( 0.19) | 24.02% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.72% ( 0.28) | 58.28% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Genoa 27.52%
Inter Milan 45.89%
Draw 26.59%
| Genoa | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.52% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.59% Total : 45.89% |
How you voted: Genoa vs Inter Milan
Genoa
6.5%Draw
8.4%Inter Milan
85.2%155
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2022 8.05pm
Aug 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
4-0
Genoa
Oct 24, 2020 5pm
Jul 25, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 36
Genoa
0-3
Inter Milan
