We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Lazio
Despite mixed results of late, Fiorentina will be relishing the opportunity to leapfrog Lazio in the standings and the hosts are capable of three points on Monday. The Biancocelesti recorded a stellar maximum on the road last time out, but we feel that the visitors will fall short of victory this time around. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
51.91% ( 0.34) | 24.3% ( -0.14) | 23.79% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.11% ( 0.42) | 48.89% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.02% ( 0.38) | 70.98% ( -0.38) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( 0.3) | 18.81% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.76% ( 0.49) | 50.24% ( -0.49) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% ( 0.06) | 35.04% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.21% ( 0.06) | 71.78% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Fiorentina 51.9%
Lazio 23.79%
Draw 24.29%
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.9% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 23.79% |
How you voted: Fiorentina vs Lazio
Fiorentina
21.7%Draw
34.9%Lazio
43.4%129
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
Jan 29, 2023 5pm
Oct 10, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Fiorentina
0-3
Lazio
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
