Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Feb 14, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 0
Bayern

(Bayern Munich win 3-1 on aggregate)

Immobile (69' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kimmich (68')
Upamecano (67')

Bayern Munich condemn racist abuse aimed at Dayot Upamecano after Lazio loss

Bayern Munich condemn the "hateful" racial abuse aimed at defender Dayot Upamecano after their 1-0 defeat to Lazio in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie on Wednesday.

Feb 15, 00:02

The Match

Match Report

Ciro Immobile fires Lazio to a 1-0 win over 10-man Bayern Munich in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie at Stadio Olimpico on Wednesday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Lazio and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 Lazio
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 Bayern
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Bayern Munich
29.58% ( 0.34)	24.57% ( 0.13)	45.85% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 56.88% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.23% (

-0.38)

45.77% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.91% (

-0.36)

68.08% (

0.36)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.15% (

0.04)

28.85% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.29% (

0.05)

64.71% (

-0.05)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.94% (

-0.35)

20.06% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.72% (

-0.57)

52.28% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Lazio 29.58%

Bayern Munich 45.85%

Draw 24.56%

Lazio	Draw	Bayern Munich
1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.58%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.85%