The Match
Match Report
Ciro Immobile fires Lazio to a 1-0 win over 10-man Bayern Munich in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie at Stadio Olimpico on Wednesday.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Lazio and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 Lazio
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 Bayern
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Bayern Munich |
29.58% ( 0.34) | 24.57% ( 0.13) | 45.85% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 56.88% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( -0.38) | 45.77% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( -0.36) | 68.08% ( 0.36) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( 0.04) | 28.85% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.29% ( 0.05) | 64.71% ( -0.05) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% ( -0.35) | 20.06% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.72% ( -0.57) | 52.28% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
Lazio 29.58%
Bayern Munich 45.85%
Draw 24.56%
| Lazio | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.85% |
How you voted: Lazio vs Bayern
Lazio
11.7%Draw
15.2%Bayern Munich
73.1%427
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2021 8pm
Round of 16
Bayern
2-1
Lazio
