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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 12, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Bayern
3 - 0
Hoffenheim

Musiala (18', 70'), Kane (90')
Pavlovic (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stach (16'), Promel (42')
Promel (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Basel 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-3 Darmstadt
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Hoffenheim

 Not since April have Hoffenheim failed to score away from home in the Bundesliga, and the Blues have fond memories of their most recent trip to the Allianz Arena, although that may not count for much against Tuchel's well-oiled machine. Focusing on the football may be a challenge for the hosts on Friday evening, but with Hoffenheim's previous ruthlessness now eluding them, the reigning champions should still emerge triumphant. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
71.15% (-0.00099999999999056 -0) 15.81% (0.00099999999999945 0) 13.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Both teams to score 62.07% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.93% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.43% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.57% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.23% (0.00099999999999056 0)6.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.99%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (0.0019999999999953 0)33.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)70.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 71.15%
    Hoffenheim 13.03%
    Draw 15.81%
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.99%
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 8.07%
3-0 @ 7.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.09%
4-1 @ 5.43%
4-0 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 4.42%
4-2 @ 2.98%
5-1 @ 2.93%
5-0 @ 2.67%
5-2 @ 1.6%
6-1 @ 1.31%
6-0 @ 1.2%
4-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 71.15%
1-1 @ 6.68%
2-2 @ 4.93%
0-0 @ 2.26%
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 15.81%
1-2 @ 3.66%
0-1 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.36%
1-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 13.03%

How you voted: Bayern vs Hoffenheim

Bayern Munich
83.8%
Draw
5.9%
Hoffenheim
10.3%
68
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bayern
1-1
Hoffenheim
Pavard (17')
Kramaric (71')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Hoffenheim
0-2
Bayern
Musiala (18'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (38')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Hoffenheim
1-1
Bayern
Baumgartner (32')
Samassekou (30'), Grillitsch (38'), Rutter (45+1'), Posch (66')
Lewandowski (45+3')
Hernandez (44')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Bayern
4-0
Hoffenheim
Gnabry (16'), Lewandowski (30'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (82'), Coman (87')

Samassekou (10'), Rudy (60'), Raum (74'), Grillitsch (90+1')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Bayern
4-1
Hoffenheim
Boateng (32'), Muller (43'), Lewandowski (57'), Gnabry (63')
Roca (53')
Kramaric (44')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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