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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 12, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Bayern
3 - 0
Hoffenheim

Musiala (18', 70'), Kane (90')
Pavlovic (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stach (16'), Promel (42')
Promel (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Basel 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-3 Darmstadt
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Hoffenheim

Not since April have Hoffenheim failed to score away from home in the Bundesliga, and the Blues have fond memories of their most recent trip to the Allianz Arena, although that may not count for much against Tuchel's well-oiled machine. Focusing on the football may be a challenge for the hosts on Friday evening, but with Hoffenheim's previous ruthlessness now eluding them, the reigning champions should still emerge triumphant. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
71.15% (-0.00099999999999056 -0) 15.81% (0.00099999999999945 0) 13.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Both teams to score 62.07% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.93% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.43% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.57% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.23% (0.00099999999999056 0)6.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.99%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (0.0019999999999953 0)33.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)70.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 71.15%
    Hoffenheim 13.03%
    Draw 15.81%
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.99%
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 8.07%
3-0 @ 7.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.09%
4-1 @ 5.43%
4-0 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 4.42%
4-2 @ 2.98%
5-1 @ 2.93%
5-0 @ 2.67%
5-2 @ 1.6%
6-1 @ 1.31%
6-0 @ 1.2%
4-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 71.15%
1-1 @ 6.68%
2-2 @ 4.93%
0-0 @ 2.26%
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 15.81%
1-2 @ 3.66%
0-1 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.36%
1-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 13.03%

How you voted: Bayern vs Hoffenheim

Bayern Munich
83.8%
Draw
5.9%
Hoffenheim
10.3%
68
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bayern
1-1
Hoffenheim
Pavard (17')
Kramaric (71')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Hoffenheim
1-1
Bayern
Baumgartner (32')
Samassekou (30'), Grillitsch (38'), Rutter (45+1'), Posch (66')
Lewandowski (45+3')
Hernandez (44')
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Bayern
4-0
Hoffenheim
Gnabry (16'), Lewandowski (30'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (82'), Coman (87')

Samassekou (10'), Rudy (60'), Raum (74'), Grillitsch (90+1')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Bayern
4-1
Hoffenheim
Boateng (32'), Muller (43'), Lewandowski (57'), Gnabry (63')
Roca (53')
Kramaric (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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